#085
Friday, July 17, 2026

Federal Reserve warns rate hikes back on table. Mets beat Phillies 4–1. The Open Championship live.

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5 MIN READ · ISSUE #085 · MARKETS · SPORTS · CULTURE
Markets / Economy
Federal Reserve officials warn of rate hike risk
Markets / Economy
The Rundown

Federal Reserve officials warn of rate hike risk. England vs. France.

Markets

Markets closed under pressure Thursday — the Nasdaq off 1.6% on the day and 2.4% on the week — after Fed officials warned that interest rates might need to rise if inflation stays stubborn, flipping the script on months of dovish expectations.

Last close
Thursday, July 16 · U.S. markets open 9:30 AM ET
S&P 500
7,534
-0.5%
Dow
52,553
-0.2%
Nasdaq
25,882
-1.5%
Russell 2000
2,975
-0.1%
10Y Treasury
4.57%
+0.5%
Top Gainers
ADBE $235.31 +4.8%
NKE $44.57 +4.2%
COST $945.57 +3.2%
SBUX $108.37 +3.1%
Top Losers
INTC $96.98 -5.8%
AMD $500.94 -5.3%
GS $1095.46 -4.9%
GOOGL $354.46 -4.4%
Most Active
NVDA $207.40 -2.4%
INTC $96.98 -5.8%
Netflix, Inc."> NFLX $74.35 +0.9%
BTC $63087.78 -1.1%
Happening Now

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The Rundown

Sports

Data: ESPN
The Lead
Aljazeera
THE GUYTALK READ. World Cup

England vs. France

What happened
England and France meet in the World Cup third-place match tomorrow (Saturday, July 18) at 5:00 PM EDT, both looking to leave the tournament with a bronze medal after semifinal exits — England fell 2-1 to Argentina, France lost 2-0 to Spain.
Why it matters
This game has zero bearing on Sunday's final between Argentina and Spain — it's a straight fight for third place and a last chance for both sides to salvage something from a semifinal loss.
The GuyTalk Read
Third-place games get written off as an afterthought, but for two teams that were 90 minutes from the final, it's still a World Cup medal on the line. Expect a looser, more attacking game than the semifinals — neither side has anything tactical left to prove, so look for early risks and rotated lineups rather than the cagey approach that defined the knockout rounds.
What to know
  • England vs. France, Saturday, July 18, 5:00 PM EDT — World Cup Third-Place Match
  • England lost 2-1 to Argentina in the semifinal; France lost 2-0 to Spain
  • The match decides 3rd/4th place only — Sunday's final is Argentina vs. Spain
What to say
"England-France Saturday is just the third-place game, but both sides were a win away from the final 72 hours ago — that's still real pride on the line for a match most people will forget by Monday."
Players to know
  • Jude Bellinghamhas scored seven goals this World Cup—including braces in back‑to‑back knockout games (Mexico and Norway)—and is England’s top‑scoring midfielder ever at a single tournament
  • Harry Kanehas become England’s outright record World Cup scorer with 14 goals, matching Gary Lineker with 10 and extending further in this tournament
  • Ousmane Dembéléscored a first‑half hat‑trick in just 32 minutes—the second‑earliest in World Cup history—to help France top their group
GuyTalk's PickToss-up game with everything to prove and nothing tactical to lose — take whichever side treats it like a real game instead of a formality.
Data: ESPN
MLB
Yahoo Sports
THE GUYTALK READ. MLB

New York Mets 4–1 over Philadelphia Phillies

What happened
Francisco Alvarez homered twice and drove in two runs, and Christian Scott struck out seven over 5.2 innings as the New York Mets beat the Philadelphia Phillies 4-1.
Why it matters
The Mets got dominant pitching and explosive offense in the same game—the recipe that actually wins ballgames. This win matters because the Phillies are a real team, and beating them at home is a statement about depth and consistency at the plate and on the mound.
Big moments
  • Francisco Alvarez went 2-for-3 with 2 home runs and 2 RBI, the Mets' primary power source in a split lineup
  • Christian Scott delivered 5.2 innings of sharp pitching with 7 strikeouts against a lineup that can hit
  • Brett Baty added another homer (2-for-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI) as the Mets stacked multiple power bats in one game
The GuyTalk Read
This is what the Mets are supposed to look like. Alvarez is young, talented, and when he connects he changes games—two homers in one night proves he's not a prospect anymore, he's an asset. Scott showed the kind of efficient, strike-throwing stuff that makes a rotation dangerous. The Phillies got a solo homer from Trea Turner and little else, which tells you the Mets' pitching plan worked. One game doesn't make a season, but dominant games against division rivals do add up.
What to know
  • Francisco Alvarez: 2-for-3, 2 HR, 2 RBI
  • Christian Scott: 5.2 IP, 7 K against Philadelphia's lineup
  • Brett Baty: 2-for-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI; Trea Turner (Phillies): 1-for-4, 1 HR
What to say
"Alvarez hit two homers tonight and Scott threw seven strikeouts—that's the kind of night the Mets need to string together if they're going to stay competitive in the East."
Players to know
  • Francisco Álvarezhomered twice in the July 16, 2026 Mets 4–1 win over Philadelphia
  • Brett Batyhas 4 HR and 31 RBI in the 2026 regular season
  • AJ Ewinghit a pinch‑hit homer in the game (pinch‑hit HR, first Mets rookie to do so since 2021)
GuyTalk's PickThe Mets look like a real team right now because they're getting dominant pitching and multiple power hitters in the same lineup, and that combination beats good teams.

Culture

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Sharp Take

Office Take

The Mets beat the Phillies on the road while tech stocks got hammered — Apple and Microsoft holding up while Google and the chip names slide suggests traders are rotating toward profit over growth promises.

Drop this at work.
Bar Argument

Herbert leads The Open but hasn't won a major — Suber is the better bet to close on Sunday because first-time major leaders with no hardware tend to feel the pressure when it counts.

Start a fight with this one.
Final Sharp Take

The Mets beat the Phillies 4–1 in Philadelphia — a clean road win that keeps New York relevant in the NL East while the Phillies continue to struggle to close out games.

Tech got hammered across the board — Google down 4.4%, AMD down 5.3%, Broadcom down 5.0% — while Apple and Microsoft held. That split tells you something: the market is repricing AI capex optimism, and the names that need cheap money to justify their valuations are the ones bleeding.

Lucas Herbert leads The Open at six-under with Jackson Suber one back. Major golf has the kind of leaderboard that rewards patience — and Herbert hasn't won one yet. That detail matters more than the scoreboard.

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