#075
Saturday, July 4, 2026

Trump's Mount Rushmore speech warns of communist menace. Cardinals obliterate Cubs 17–1. Glover leads John Deere Classic at –14.

Five minutes. Everything you need.

5 MIN READ · ISSUE #075 · MARKETS · SPORTS · CULTURE
Politics
Trump’s Mount Rushmore speech warns of “communist menace”
Politics
The Rundown

Apple rallies 4.8% as mega-cap tech splits the room heading into next week. Argentina 3–2 Cape Verde.

Markets

Markets closed mixed Thursday — markets are shut today for Independence Day, so Thursday's numbers are what you're bringing to the cookout — with mega-cap tech badly split — Apple surging 4.8% while Tesla and Dell cratered 7.5% and 7.3% — and the 10-year Treasury climbing 2.1% on the day as the holiday-shortened week wrapped.

Last close
Thursday, July 3 · last session before Independence Day
S&P 500
7,483
+0.0%
Dow
52,900
+1.1%
Nasdaq
25,833
-0.8%
Russell 2000
2,996
-0.5%
10Y Treasury
4.48%
+2.1%
Top Gainers
AAPL $308.63 +4.8%
Netflix, Inc."> NFLX $77.65 +4.7%
ADBE $219.72 +4.1%
COIN $165.48 +3.9%
Top Losers
TSLA $393.45 -7.5%
INTC $120.35 -5.3%
META $582.90 -4.9%
AMD $517.82 -4.3%
Most Active
NVDA $194.83 -1.4%
INTC $120.35 -5.3%
TSLA $393.45 -7.5%
BTC $62607.24 +0.1%
Happening Now

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The Rundown

Sports

THE GUYTALK READ. World Cup

Argentina 3–2 Cape Verde

What happened
Argentina beat Cape Verde 3–2 in extra time at the World Cup, with Lionel Messi scoring in the 29th minute and an own goal from Diney Borges sealing the win in the 111th.
Why it matters
Messi extended his record to 20 World Cup wins, a marker that underscores his longevity at the highest level even at 39. Argentina advances to the round of 16 and stays in contention for back-to-back World Cup titles.
The GuyTalk Read
Cape Verde pushed Argentina harder than expected—a 3–2 scoreline in extra time is not the dominance you want to see from a defending champion. But Messi's presence still matters. He got a goal, he controlled the tempo when it mattered, and Argentina found a way through a sloppy, mistake-prone second half. Own goals will happen; the bigger read is that Argentina's midfield looked vulnerable and their defense had lapses. Colombia's 1–0 win over Ghana in Kansas City locked in the last spot, so the group is essentially done. Morocco and France go tonight.
What to know
  • Lionel Messi now has 20 World Cup wins, a record.
  • Diney Borges own goal in the 111th minute was the decisive goal.
  • Colombia advanced to the round of 16 with a 1–0 win over Ghana; Jhon Arias scored in the 14th.
  • Egypt advanced on penalties, 4–2, over Australia after a 1–1 draw.
What to say
"Messi just hit 20 World Cup wins at 39 years old—that's not just a number, it's proof he's still the tiebreaker when Argentina gets tight."
Players to know
  • Lionel MessiInter Miami · 2022 World Cup winner · widely the greatest ever
GuyTalk's PickArgentina advances because even a sloppy performance with an own goal beats Cape Verde; the real test comes in the knockout stage when they face better teams.
THE GUYTALK READ. F1

Pirelli British Grand Prix — this weekend

When
7/5 - 10:00 AM EDT
What happened
The Pirelli British Grand Prix is scheduled for this weekend at Silverstone.
Why it matters
Silverstone is one of the oldest and most storied circuits in Formula 1, and the British Grand Prix is one of the sport's marquee events. A strong result here shapes the championship narrative heading into the season's middle stretch.
The GuyTalk Read
No races have been run yet this weekend, so we don't have driver performance data or weather conditions to assess. Silverstone typically rewards top speed and precision through the high-speed corners—teams with a strong power unit and a balanced setup tend to excel. Check back after qualifying and the race for the real story.
What to know
  • Silverstone hosts the British Grand Prix, one of F1's most prestigious races.
  • The circuit is known for high-speed corners and demands strong power unit performance.
  • Races at Silverstone this season have not yet been run; qualifying and the race are still to come.
What to say
"Silverstone separates the pretenders from the contenders because you can't hide a bad setup on those fast corners—whoever qualifies well usually wins."
Players to know
GuyTalk's PickCheck the qualifying results Saturday; whoever locks the front row has the advantage because track position matters more at Silverstone than at most circuits.
MLB
Cbsnewsstatic
THE GUYTALK READ. MLB

St. Louis Cardinals 17–1 over Chicago Cubs

What happened
The St. Louis Cardinals routed the Chicago Cubs 17–1.
Why it matters
A 16-run margin is a complete demolition—this is the kind of loss that breaks a team's momentum and leaves the loser's bullpen gassed heading into the next games.
The GuyTalk Read
This wasn't a competitive game. The Cardinals came out swinging and the Cubs had no answer. Chicago's pitching staff got torched early and often, and once you're down that far in baseball, you're just playing out the string. The Cubs look exposed; the Cardinals look locked in. If this is part of a larger pattern for Chicago, they have real problems.
What to know
  • St. Louis Cardinals beat Chicago Cubs 17–1.
  • A 16-run margin represents a complete blowout.
  • The game signals a significant performance gap between the two teams on this day.
What to say
"The Cardinals just dropped 17 on the Cubs and won by 16 runs—that's not baseball, that's an execution clinic, and it tells you everything about where these two teams are right now."
GuyTalk's PickSt. Louis looks like the better team because they dominated in every phase; Chicago has to regroup fast or this one game turns into a three-game skid.

Culture

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ThermoWorks Thermapen ONE — if you grill, this is the only thermometer you should own.

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Sharp Take

Office Take

The Cardinals just dropped 17 on Chicago — baseball's having its July explosion, but the tech selloff suggests the market's worried about something bigger than earnings.

Drop this at work.
Bar Argument

Cardinals 17, Cubs 1 at Wrigley on the Fourth — St. Louis is the most dangerous team in the NL Central right now and it's not particularly close.

Start a fight with this one.
Final Sharp Take

Cardinals just dropped 17 on the Cubs at Wrigley on the Fourth — that's not a win, that's a statement. St. Louis has found something offensively that Chicago can't answer right now, and the trade deadline is coming fast.

Tesla down 7.5% while Apple climbs 4.8% on the same day — that's not a sector story, that's investors picking individual winners and walking away from the broad AI trade. When Nvidia and AMD are both red on a tech-heavy Friday, the easy money in the chip basket is done.

Trump turned Mount Rushmore into a rally stage on the nation's 250th birthday. Whether you think the threat is real or not, using Independence Day as a political warning shot is a choice — and it's the kind of choice that defines how a presidency gets remembered.

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